Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This is a market on the cumulative number of COVID-19 cases there will be globally by May 10, 2021, 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes” if there are more than 160 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 globally on or before the resolution date. This market will resolve to “No” if there are not more than 160 million confirmed cases of COVID-19 globally by the resolution date. The resolution source for this market will be the cumulative number of confirmed cases of COVID-19, globally, as indicated by the World Health Organization’s Coronavirus Disease Dashboard (https://covid19.who.int/). If the resolution source is unavailable on the resolution date, The New York Times will be referenced instead (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/world/coronavirus-maps.html). If both sources are unavailable on the resolution date, this market will resolve to 50/50. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, the market will be resolved at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.