Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542d | Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,976 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 545d | Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,945 | +$60 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 598d | denizz | Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$199 +19% | 20 |
| 618d | Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days? | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$979 +30% | 20 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be withdrawing all military forces from Syria by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, announcements of a partial withdrawal, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.