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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540d |  GollumGekko3 fills | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,412 | +$322 +3.1% | 4 |
| 541d | LBZone | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,493 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 543d |  Justitia | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,683 | −$90 −1.9% | — |
| 549d | PanicSchlumpf19982 fills | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,673 | −$163 −6.1% | — |
| 549d | riskmanager | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,944 | −$56 −2.9% | — |
| 552d | Justitia2 fills | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,057 | +$220 +5.4% | 4 |
| 552d |  SirHarryOakes | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | −$41 −3.5% | — |
| 553d | 0x4e25…d7a72 fills | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,409 | +$187 +5.5% | 4 |
| 557d |  Dankwizart420 | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$62 +4.2% | 4 |
| 560d | riskmanager | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | +$69 +4.2% | 4 |
| 561d |  FridayNight | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 4 |
| 561d | PanicSchlumpf19982 fills | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,713 | +$223 +8.2% | 4 |
| 562d | DisplayNameX | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$92 +7.5% | 4 |
| 562d |  MikeyDoes2 fills | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,126 | −$426 −10% | — |
| 564d | Nobody23041 | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | −$120 −6.4% | — |
| 565d |  How.Dare.You2 fills | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $10,847 | +$661 +6.1% | 4 |
| 565d |  mr.ozi | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | +$168 +11% | 4 |
| 565d |  Kickstand7 | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,193 | +$519 +12% | 4 |
| 565d | BowlOfPunch | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | SellYes11¢ → 0¢ | $1,136 | +$1,136 +100% | — |
| 565d |  Car | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$178 +15% | 4 |
| 565d | MikeyDoes | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$451 +15% | 4 |
| 565d | Nobody230412 fills | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,252 | +$604 +19% | 4 |
| 566d | RowdyTellezMVP | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$100 +8.7% | 4 |
| 567d |  DegenerateJanet | Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,566 | +$317 +12% | 4 |
Soosheimer86 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly claims that he crashed the stock market on purpose by April 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market, a qualifying claim must be an original public statement from Trump, either written or verbal, where he explicitly states that he intentionally caused a stock market crash. Reposts, retweets, or shares of other people’s statements will not count—only statements directly authored or spoken by Trump himself will qualify. The resolution source will be public statements made by Donald Trump. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.