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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211d |  DREAMBIG.2 fills | Will Trump dance during National Agriculture Day event? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,906 | +$556 +19% | 4 |
| 212d | Bdman | Will Trump dance during National Agriculture Day event? | SellNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,087 | +$1,087 +100% | — |
| 212d | Bdman | Will Trump dance during National Agriculture Day event? | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $1,756 | −$1,756 −100% | 8 |
Trump is scheduled to participate in an event for National Agriculture Day on March 27, 2026. (Read more about that here: https://washingtonreporter.news/exclusive-white-house-unveils-trumps-pro-farmer-agenda-ahead-of-national-agriculture-day/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the National Agriculture Day event on March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.