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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24 | 100% | +28 pts | +61 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| June 5 | 100% | +64 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| June 14 | 0% | −9 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| June 22 | 0% | −19 pts | −22 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| June 8 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| June 16 | 0% | −14 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 21 | 0% | −45 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 28 | 0% | −11 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 19 | 0% | −46 pts | −21 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| June 7 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| June 25 | 0% | −44 pts | −41 pts | — · 6¢ | — | ended |
| June 15 | 0% | −1 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 13 | 0% | −3 pts | −46 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| June 23 | 100% | +48 pts | +75 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| June 9 | 0% | −18 pts | −27 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| June 27 | 0% | −34 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 3 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| June 20 | 0% | −50 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 17 | 0% | −2 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 12 | 0% | −5 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 29 | 0% | −1 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 11 | 0% | −22 pts | −37 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 10 | 0% | −30 pts | −34 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| June 26 | 100% | +61 pts | +58 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| June 6 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30 | 0% | −44 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 4 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| June 18 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · 46¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
aenews2157 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June 24 means the market gives it about 100%.