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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 347d | Will Trump disparage Ahmed al-Sharaa on Monday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,419 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement on November 10, 2025 (ET) in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Ahmed al-Sharaa personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling Ahmed al-Sharaa weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “Ahmed isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to Ahmed al-Sharaa’s professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “Ahmed isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if Ahmed al-Sharaa is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.