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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 544d |  elmcap2 | Will Trump end FEMA in first 100 days? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,345 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
On February 2, Donald Trump posted that FEMA should be eliminated: https://x.com/autismcapital/status/1889355068820111527 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) ceases operations entirely by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If FEMA is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled FEMA it will count as a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.