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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641d |  sleepy-panda | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,950 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 641d | surf | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,629 | +$109 +1.0% | 20 |
| 644d |  samuraiCAT-039 | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | −$48 −3.9% | — |
| 648d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,472 | +$376 +8.4% | 20 |
| 656d | hmmmmm-365 | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,958 | +$262 +5.3% | 20 |
| 661d | samuraiCAT-039 | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$81 +5.4% | 20 |
| 664d | Beijingchitaivan | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | −$128 −6.8% | — |
| 665d |  GoriIIa | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,966 | +$292 +4.9% | 20 |
| 666d |  ComeBackOrBust | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$179 +9.0% | 20 |
| 672d | InsiderrrZ | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,267 | −$527 −16% | — |
| 681d | Beijingchitaivan | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,748 | +$622 +23% | 20 |
| 683d | InsiderrrZ | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,171 | +$687 +22% | 20 |
| 689d |  MMousse | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyNo19¢ → 0¢ | $1,167 | −$1,167 −100% | 21 |
| 697d |  SAMURAICAT | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | −$309 −21% | — |
| 701d | SAMURAICAT | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$319 +22% | 20 |
| 705d | LiquidElk | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,094 | −$414 −5.8% | — |
| 706d | LiquidElk | Will Trump formally nominate RFK Jr. to the cabinet? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,911 | +$89 +4.7% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump as President of the United States formally nominates Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. for a Cabinet position by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Cabinet position is defined as any of the heads of the 15 executive departments or a role formally designated as Cabinet-level by the President. Advisory roles will not qualify for this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.