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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 641d |  sleepy-panda | Will Trump nominate Pete Hegseth as Defense Secretary? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,121 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump as President of the United States formally nominates Pete Hegseth for Secretary of Defense by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.