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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +52 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 629d |  MotherTheresa11 fills | Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $155,375 | +$629 +0.4% | 20 |
| 629d |  d1k212 fills | Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 629d |  🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,686 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 629d |  COVID-isTheNew-HUNTER-PARDON | Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,000 | +$20 +0.2% | 20 |
| 629d | nedsta | Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,795 | +$119 +1.0% | 20 |
| 629d | semi | Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$79 +7.7% | 20 |
| 630d | Alanwatts | Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$1,530 +104% | 22 |
| 630d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | +$2,732 +233% | 23 |
| 630d | surf | Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,743 | +$3,859 +221% | 24 |
| 630d |  Axios | Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,568 | −$1,568 −100% | 21 |
| 630d |  How.Dare.You | Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday? | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $2,680 | −$2,680 −100% | 21 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on crude petroleum imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada by February 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.