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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 629d |  MotherTheresa | Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,552 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 629d | Aggravatingbet | Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,707 | −$41 −2.4% | — |
| 629d | semi | Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,862 | +$61 +3.3% | 20 |
| 637d | Ineedhole | Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March? | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | −$454 −44% | — |
| 639d | Ineedhole | Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$474 +47% | 20 |
jman12f42 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or his administration (including the Department of Commerce) impose any new or increased tariffs on Canada by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.