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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304d | helloiamworld | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,530 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 325d |  DEGENKHAN2 fills | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,908 | +$183 +1.2% | 4 |
| 355d | mitraa | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,178 | +$17 +1.4% | 4 |
| 422d |  MLBksRETARD | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,631 | −$121 −2.1% | — |
| 426d |  allenzzz | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,333 | −$71 −2.1% | — |
| 431d | DEGENKHAN | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,249 | −$69 −2.1% | — |
| 444d |  DegenerateJanet | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,244 | −$53 −2.4% | — |
| 461d | 0xTrinity | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$71 +5.3% | 4 |
| 468d | 21A | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$77 +5.3% | 4 |
| 469d | Retired-Davis | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,301 | −$168 −5.1% | — |
| 471d |  Rolocex | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,496 | −$504 −5.3% | — |
| 473d |  Car | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,330 | −$605 −5.3% | — |
| 474d | Retired-Davis | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,591 | +$173 +4.8% | 4 |
| 475d | Gdub | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$57 +5.0% | 4 |
| 493d |  Bertapotamous | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,012 | −$152 −5.1% | — |
| 504d | fonzi | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | +$53 +4.7% | 4 |
| 505d | Bertapotamous | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,247 | +$139 +6.2% | 4 |
| 505d | meropi | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | −$66 −6.2% | — |
| 505d | Lizrael | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$51 +4.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk serves any time in custody in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between June 5, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.