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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 100% | +84 pts | +80 pts | 87¢ · >99¢ (13¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207d | TraceyGalvan3507 | June 30 | SellNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,004 | +$1,004 +100% | — |
| 207d | neckties | June 30 | SellNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,089 | +$1,089 +100% | — |
| 208d | neckties | June 30 | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,327 | −$1,327 −100% | 20 |
| 208d | uaenetwork | June 30 | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,266 | −$1,266 −100% | 20 |
| 208d | TraceyGalvan3507 | June 30 | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,541 | −$1,541 −100% | 20 |
RoadToM3in2026200 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 100%.