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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 418d | WuTangClan | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,053 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 419d | Username33 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,124 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 419d | DHR04c | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,023 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 420d | david3891 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,976 | −$24 −0.8% | — |
| 422d | david3891 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,989 | +$11 +0.4% | 20 |
| 427d | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,756 | −$26 −1.5% | — | |
| 431d | 854A7843 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 433d | affs20791 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,930 | −$70 −0.7% | — |
| 434d | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,812 | +$188 +1.7% | 20 | |
| 448d | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $4,950 | −$4,950 −100% | 32 | |
| 450d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,856 | +$119 +3.1% | 20 |
| 451d | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $33,774 | +$1,736 +5.1% | 20 | |
| 454d | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,235 | +$170 +5.3% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.