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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640d |  Epstein | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 640d | Richie30303 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,792 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 640d | OriginalGeezer | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,291 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 640d |  MotherTheresa2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,986 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 640d | Spirited-Waist | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,425 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 640d | jfums33 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,371 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 640d | fkarasek | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,246 | −$32 −1.0% | — |
| 640d | 0x4e25…d7a72 fills | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,166 | +$42 +1.0% | 2 |
| 640d | a4gr1m | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 640d |  MLBksRETARD2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $13,614 | +$442 +3.2% | 2 |
| 640d |  Kickstand7 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,305 | +$88 +2.0% | 2 |
| 640d |  TrentaColdBrew | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$188 +9.4% | 2 |
| 640d | w1n3r | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,188 | +$394 +12% | 2 |
| 640d | MelonTusk2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $4,410 | +$1,454 +33% | 2 |
| 640d |  Dropper | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | +$556 +33% | 2 |
| 640d |  ciro2 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $3,696 | −$1,232 −33% | — |
| 640d | akiko | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | −$331 −23% | — |
| 640d | sdiff123 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$397 +35% | 2 |
| 640d | ciro22 fills | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $8,777 | +$3,825 +44% | 3 |
| 640d | Spirited-Waist | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$431 +43% | 3 |
| 640d |  Joe-Biden | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyNo33¢ → 0¢ | $1,084 | −$1,084 −100% | 3 |
| 640d | nateateeight | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 640d | notaAmerican | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,461 | −$1,461 −100% | 3 |
| 640d | EscalateFund | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,429 | −$1,429 −100% | 3 |
| 640d | Skirk1123 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$437 +29% | 2 |
| 640d | STRI | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$2,100 +43% | 3 |
| 640d |  slurpslurpslurp | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$315 +25% | 2 |
| 641d | HBCM2 fills | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $23,036 | +$4,386 +19% | 2 |
| 641d | PolyBlaster | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,449 | +$1,000 +41% | 2 |
| 641d |  eCash | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,256 | −$1,256 −100% | 4 |
| 641d | amb2 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,726 | +$283 +16% | 2 |
| 641d |  RiseAndSunny | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,073 | +$395 +19% | 2 |
| 641d | akiko | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$834 +28% | 2 |
| 641d |  elmcap2 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$70 +6.7% | 2 |
| 641d | M888 | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,494 | +$264 +18% | 2 |
| 641d |  Eridpnc | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,041 | +$563 +19% | 2 |
| 641d | chenzhuoran | Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | +$262 +20% | 2 |
REFULSIT-OMNIUM3,400 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if creator of Silk Road, Ross William Ulbricht, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by January 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Ulbricht is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.