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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357d | Anna-F | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,404 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 357d |  Lakan | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,712 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | Taylorslow | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 357d |  edisonyang | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $24,975 | −$25 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | ChinPooLee | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,546 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 357d |  basedcigany | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,012 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d | elpredictoooor | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,983 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d | baofulong | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,093 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | 100x | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $99,899 | +$101 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d | cnerwuiva | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,856 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 359d |  FXC2 fills | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,350 | +$71 +1.6% | 2 |
| 359d | xyunited | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 359d | Everoo | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 359d | Trader2024 | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,656 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 359d | Terrible-Briefly7 fills | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,318 | +$82 +0.5% | 2 |
| 359d | dhfiiggbhgfh | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,490 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 360d |  MisTKy3 | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,935 | −$24 −0.6% | — |
| 360d | CryptoRandi | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,683 | −$13 −0.5% | — |
| 360d | jijihaoda | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 361d | chen76 | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 362d | Everoo | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 362d | Trader2024 | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | +$11 +0.7% | 2 |
| 362d |  enesaurus | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,678 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 363d | cnerwuiva | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,842 | +$29 +0.6% | 2 |
| 363d | CryptoRandi | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | +$14 +0.8% | 2 |
| 364d | yournewalpha | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 364d | edisonyang | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $24,623 | +$377 +1.5% | 2 |
| 364d |  squiffs | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$24 +1.6% | 2 |
| 364d |  Anjun | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,543 | +$38 +2.5% | 2 |
| 364d |  Oompa-Loompa | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$28 +2.4% | 2 |
| 364d | enesaurus | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$20 +1.7% | 2 |
| 364d | MisTKy3 | Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$35 +2.2% | 2 |
shbot6,976 shares
joskapistaeros4,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.