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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 587d |  ScamWick | Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$57 +5.3% | 4 |
| 594d |  ihatemyself | Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days? | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,261 | +$1,551 +123% | 4 |
| 596d |  MotherTheresa | Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days? | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $2,008 | −$2,008 −100% | 4 |
| 607d |  zalkida | Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days? | BuyNo66¢ → 0¢ | $1,467 | −$1,467 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a bill is signed into law by Donald Trump that meets any of the following criteria: - Increases funding for a border wall with Mexico - Increases immigration services fees - Taxes remittances - Increases funding for Immigration law enforcement, U.S. Customs and Border Patrol - Restricts undocumented immigrants from using government services Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that the listed provisions of a qualifying bill do not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.