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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  Minecraft | Will Trump recognize Somaliland in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,171 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 296d |  devoteeOfBeshaba2 fills | Will Trump recognize Somaliland in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,087 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 317d | COOLBOY | Will Trump recognize Somaliland in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,006 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
TimeTraveler3,119 shares
user-213094o451 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.