Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 545d |  0xCarneyAsada | Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,865 | +$100 +1.0% | 4 |
| 549d | Retired-Davis | Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,911 | +$19 +1.0% | 4 |
| 583d | denizz4 fills | Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $6,570 | +$1,261 +19% | 4 |
| 655d | dsnuts | Will Trump recognize Somaliland in first 100 days? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$205 +17% | 4 |
TimeTraveler12,350 shares
BabyYoda12480 shares
DEFIANT-130364 shares
IntelGeoPol35 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state, between December 10, 2024, and April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.