Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
On March 25, Donald Trump sent a memorandum to the Attorney General for the “Immediate Declassification of Materials Related to the Federal Bureau of Investigation’s Crossfire Hurricane Investigation” (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/03/immediate-declassification-of-materials-related-to-the-federal-bureau-of-investigations-crossfire-hurricane-investigation/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases any previously classified, sealed, or publicly unavailable files related to the FBI's "Crossfire Hurricane" investigation, by April 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Files which were previously publicly available will not qualify, regardless of if they have not been formally released by the U.S. government. Eliminations of redactions on previously released documents will qualify. Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.