Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 773d | professorx | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,618 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 773d | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,400 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 773d | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,416 | +$44 +0.8% | 20 | |
| 773d | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,390 | +$90 +1.2% | 20 | |
| 773d | Gdub2 fills | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,069 | +$31 +0.6% | 20 |
| 773d | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,674 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 | |
| 773d | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,935 | +$35 +0.4% | 20 | |
| 773d | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 773d | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,867 | +$133 +2.7% | 20 | |
| 773d | RD293 fills | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $10,233 | +$1,496 +15% | 23 |
| 773d | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$99 +8.7% | 20 | |
| 773d | dondondo | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 20 |
| 773d | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,698 | −$491 −18% | — | |
| 774d | anon1565 | Will Trump say a slur during the debate? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$263 +12% | 23 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump uses a slur targeting race, ethnicity, religion, gender, sexuality, or disabilities at least once during the first presidential debate between himself and Kamala Harris during the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" Trump must clearly be using the term in reference to the derogatory meaning of a word in question (e.g. If Trump says "I ate too many crackers" this would not qualify). If no debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes place before election day, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.