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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 18 | 0% | −1 pts | −44 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 15 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 14 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 17 | 100% | +53 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 16 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 13 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 12 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 554d |  Car | April 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,071 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 |
| 555d |  UwO | April 17 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$55 +5.4% | 5 |
| 556d | UwO | April 16 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$56 +4.2% | 5 |
| 556d | orian | April 18 | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $17,344 | −$19,559 −113% | — |
| 556d | Brevion | April 18 | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $19,190 | −$19,190 −100% | 9 |
| 556d |  Debosnys | April 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,997 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 556d | Car | April 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,732 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 557d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | April 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,081 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 557d | UwO | April 15 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,639 | +$72 +4.4% | 5 |
| 557d |  afterer | April 15 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,621 | +$85 +5.3% | 4 |
| 557d | UwO | April 14 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | +$15 +1.0% | 4 |
| 558d | afterer | April 13 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,828 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 559d | afterer | April 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,403 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 559d | Raelveth | April 15 | SellYes39¢ → 100¢ | $13,174 | −$20,605 −156% | — |
| 559d | Deylric | April 15 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $20,652 | −$20,652 −100% | 6 |
| 560d | Quinver | April 18 | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $17,921 | +$17,921 +100% | — |
| 560d | Raevian | April 18 | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $22,822 | +$17,932 +79% | 6 |
Fartard1,000 sharesThis market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for April 18 means the market gives it about 0%.