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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 31 | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August 1 | 0% | −3 pts | −14 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| July 26 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 30 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| July 27 | 0% | +1 pts | — | — · 6¢ | — | ended |
| July 29 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · 10¢ | — | ended |
| July 28 | 0% | +39 pts | — | — · 94¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449d |  Debosnys | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for July 31 means the market gives it about 100%.