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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 5 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 6 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 9 | 100% | +37 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 8 | 0% | −8 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 7 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 3 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 533d |  Car | May 9 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,686 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 533d |  AgricultureSecretary | May 9 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$11 +1.1% | 4 |
| 534d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe33 fills | May 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,031 | +$16 +0.1% | 4 |
| 534d | LBZone2 fills | May 7 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,460 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 534d | MAGA.MUSK | May 6 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,526 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 534d |  UwO | May 6 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,676 | +$18 +1.1% | 4 |
| 534d |  imtiredb0ss | May 6 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$19 +1.9% | 4 |
| 536d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe35 fills | May 4 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $10,889 | −$2,294 −21% | — |
| 536d | UwO | May 4 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,593 | −$182 −5.1% | — |
| 536d | randomGuy2580 | May 5 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,023 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 537d | AgricultureSecretary | May 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,852 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 537d | SweetChariot | May 5 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,658 | +$8 +0.3% | 4 |
| 537d | LBZone2 fills | May 4 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,680 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 |
| 537d | LBZone | May 5 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$45 +3.2% | 4 |
| 537d | UwO | May 4 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,167 | +$45 +1.1% | 4 |
| 538d |  Slowroasted | May 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 539d |  Debosnys | May 3 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$195 +9.9% | 5 |
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for May 4 means the market gives it about 0%.