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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 13 | 100% | +3 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| On or prior to May 1 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 2 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 3 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 4 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 5 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 6 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 7 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 8 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 9 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 10 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 11 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 12 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 14 | 0% | −1 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 15 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 16 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 17 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 18 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 19 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 20 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 21 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 22 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 23 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 24 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 25 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 26 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 27 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 28 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 29 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 30 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No visit by May 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163d | weaklei | May 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,465 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d |  scout | May 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,465 | +$23 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d |  SlashClam | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,426 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d | weaklei | May 13 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,457 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | LuckyChole | May 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,793 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d | LuckyChole | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,913 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d |  woyaofada888 | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d | virsssyyi | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,408 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d | CalKlein | May 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,448 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d | CalKlein | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,364 | +$19 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d | J-SP | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d |  Jebury-Dracula | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,163 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 163d | i18z6 fills | May 14 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,746 | +$53 +0.6% | 20 |
| 163d | i18z8 fills | May 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,288 | +$17 +0.2% | 20 |
| 163d | 0XTrumpDKXuqB91R7913e | May 13 | SellYes100¢ | $1,194 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 163d | RRPPKK2 fills | May 13 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,098 | −$124 −3.0% | — |
| 163d | DooBieZ | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,306 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 163d | tsekinming01 | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $52,049 | +$52 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d | Liquid-Peen | May 13 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,366 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 163d | Duwaka | May 13 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,027 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 163d |  Chims2 fills | May 13 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,223 | +$56 +0.9% | 20 |
| 163d | Hiworld. | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,970 | +$30 +0.3% | 20 |
| 163d | jklsjdwoqejasdf2 fills | May 13 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $12,345 | +$538 +4.4% | 20 |
| 163d |  Benevento | May 13 | SellYes100¢ | $1,644 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 163d |  ironic. | May 13 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,023 | −$13 −0.4% | — |
| 163d | Wet-Appetizer | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,561 | +$25 +0.4% | 20 |
| 163d |  Thailand-Playboy4 fills | May 13 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $15,970 | +$184 +1.2% | 20 |
| 163d | gaiggle | May 13 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,478 | −$56 −0.7% | — |
| 163d |  AllwinAllin | May 13 | SellYes100¢ | $1,171 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 163d |  poorestsob | May 13 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,000 | +$23 +0.4% | 20 |
| 163d | toomanycoins | May 13 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,897 | +$10 +0.5% | 20 |
| 164d | i18z2 fills | May 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,559 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 164d | wakakakakakaka | May 13 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$34 +0.7% | 20 |
| 164d | scout2 fills | May 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,953 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 164d |  Cerco | May 13 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$10 +0.8% | 20 |
| 164d | 0x69time | May 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,895 | +$8 +0.4% | 20 |
| 164d | iamafemale | May 14 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,267 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 164d | TwistedTeas | May 14 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 164d | Justafarmerfanboi | May 14 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$14 +1.1% | 20 |
| 164d | 67isstillfunny | May 14 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$21 +1.1% | 20 |
| 164d | szn42FamilyGuy | May 14 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,629 | +$20 +1.2% | 20 |
| 164d | i18z3 fills | No visit by May 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,160 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 164d | ironic.2 fills | May 13 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,900 | +$105 +1.8% | 20 |
| 164d | scout | May 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,034 | +$24 +0.3% | 20 |
| 164d | FlyingPlaty | May 13 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,615 | +$105 +2.3% | 20 |
| 164d | wuerjiu | May 13 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$23 +1.8% | 20 |
| 164d | OLOTH | May 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,957 | +$23 +0.1% | 20 |
| 164d | Unimportant-Peasant | May 13 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | −$40 −2.0% | — |
| 164d | Jebury-Dracula | May 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,159 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 164d |  Wagner275738 | May 13 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,405 | +$47 +1.9% | 20 |
| 164d | Benevento | May 13 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | +$40 +2.5% | 20 |
| 164d |  xiaozhouzhoua | May 13 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | −$73 −3.7% | — |
| 164d |  MR.K-473 | May 13 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,111 | +$108 +2.1% | 20 |
| 164d | yolol | May 13 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$217 +3.1% | 20 |
| 164d | sylviedeborah7280 | May 12 | SellNo100¢ | $1,126 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 164d | NkukuEllie | May 12 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 164d | Dizzy-Act | May 12 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 164d | melanie115emet | May 12 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 164d | Sean446 | May 12 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$6 +0.6% | 20 |
| 164d | sylviedeborah7280 | May 12 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,129 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for May 13 means the market gives it about 100%.