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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 639d |  sleepy-panda | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,420 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 639d | pantomime2 fills | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,321 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 639d |  Slowroasted3 fills | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,329 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 640d |  GollumGekko | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,493 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 640d | BM-FRG | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$13 −1.3% | — |
| 641d | simpleman | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,626 | −$24 −0.5% | — |
| 641d | surf2 fills | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,915 | +$85 +1.2% | 20 |
| 642d | simpleman | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$650 +16% | 20 |
| 660d |  Vanquish2 fills | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,827 | +$644 +17% | 20 |
| 710d | 0x8a35z | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | −$492 −34% | — |
| 711d |  LucyCross2 fills | Will Trump withdraw from Paris climate agreement in first 100 days? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $5,089 | +$1,898 +37% | 20 |
rousseauuu1,202 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration, withdraws the US from the Paris Climate Accords by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement from Trump before he takes office will not qualify. A withdrawal such as Trump Administration’s withdrawal from the accords in 2019 announced on November 4, 2019 would qualify (see: https://2017-2021.state.gov/on-the-u-s-withdrawal-from-the-paris-agreement/) The primary resolution source will be information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.