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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Twitter reports any partial or major outages between November 16, and December 15, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Twitter, specifically information found on https://api.twitterstat.us/. "Major Outages" are color-coded to red, and "Partial Outages" are color-coded to orange. Outages will be displayed in the table of systems on the "Twitter API Status" page, or in the tables of dates listed beneath it under the titles "Past Incidents" and "Incident History". If Twitter is experiencing a worldwide outage and has not communicated within 1 hour, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.