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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +2 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 367d | Michael5289 | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,410 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 367d | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,400 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 370d | kcnyekchno | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,440 | +$126 +1.0% | 4 |
| 452d | InsiderrrZ | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | −$257 −23% | — |
| 458d | InsiderrrZ2 fills | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $20,048 | +$5,012 +25% | 4 |
| 571d | Thalwen | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | SellNo24¢ → 0¢ | $13,211 | +$13,211 +100% | — |
| 571d | Eriandor | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $41,836 | +$13,211 +32% | 4 |
| 572d | InsiderrrZ2 fills | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $3,703 | −$3,703 −100% | 10 |
| 591d | Caelvior | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $55,148 | −$32,388 −59% | — |
| 591d | Thalorien | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $32,388 | −$32,388 −100% | 13 |
| 605d | Mythraen | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | SellNo27¢ → 0¢ | $19,880 | +$19,880 +100% | — |
| 605d | EvoQuiel | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $53,735 | +$19,875 +37% | 4 |
| 608d | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | −$465 −39% | — | |
| 614d | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | +$618 +37% | 4 | |
| 630d | Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,521 | +$563 +37% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt surpasses 38 trillion dollars at any point before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.