Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542d | U.S. sovereign wealth fund operational in Trump's first 100 days? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 575d | U.S. sovereign wealth fund operational in Trump's first 100 days? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,050 | +$305 +7.5% | 4 | |
| 605d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | U.S. sovereign wealth fund operational in Trump's first 100 days? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$128 +8.7% | 4 |
| 618d | U.S. sovereign wealth fund operational in Trump's first 100 days? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | +$141 +11% | 4 | |
| 627d | unco | U.S. sovereign wealth fund operational in Trump's first 100 days? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$268 +25% | 4 |
On February 3, Donald Trump signed an executive order creating a national wealth fund. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sovereign wealth fund created by the Trump administration is operational by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the market to resolve to Yes, the fund must have an operational structure with appointed officials or a managing body, and hold at least one verifiable asset. The signing of additional executive orders or further announcements which do not meet this criteria will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.