Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −99 pts | −99 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 532d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Will U.S. tourism decline in April? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,046 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 533d |  🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Will U.S. tourism decline in April? | BuyYes97¢ → 0¢ | $3,287 | −$3,287 −100% | 4 |
| 540d |  scottilicious | Will U.S. tourism decline in April? | BuyYes99¢ → 0¢ | $1,183 | −$1,183 −100% | 4 |
There were 4,899,277 foreign arrivals in April 2024. (see: https://www.trade.gov/us-international-air-travel-statistics-i-92-data) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total visitors to the U.S. for April 2025 is less than 4,899,277 . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be U.S. International Air Travel Statistics (I-92 data), specifically, the value associated with "Foreign Originating" for April 2025 under "Monthly Data" at https://www.trade.gov/us-international-air-travel-statistics-i-92-data. If the data for the listed month is not available, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.