Polymarket · OtherClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Vladimir Putin, president of the Russian Federation, has been accused of war crimes throughout the Russian invasion of Ukraine. On February 28, 2022, the International Criminal Court (ICC) opened an investigation into the "Situation in Ukraine" (https://www.icc-cpi.int/Pages/item.aspx?name=20220228-prosecutor-statement-ukraine). This market asks whether Vladimir Putin will become a defendant in a case prosecuted by the International Criminal Court (ICC) before January 1, 2023. If Vladimir Putin becomes the defendant in a case prosecuted by the International Criminal Court (ICC) before January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, to become a defendant of the ICC means to have charges filed or confirmed against an individual in question, in this case Vladimir Putin, by the Court. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the International Criminal Court (https://www.icc-cpi.int/Pages/defendants-wip.aspx), however other credible media may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for Yes means the market gives it about <1%.