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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d | Will Waymo surpass Uber SF market share in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,865 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Waymo's monthly rides in San Francisco exceeds or is equal to Uber's monthly rides for any month in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Monthly rides is defined as total gross bookings - i.e. the number of pickups and drop offs inside SF operating boundary. The resolution source will be reputable sources including YipitData, and company reports, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.