Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +10 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
This is a market on whether 'Wicked' (2024) will gross domestically more than two times what 'Gladiator II' (2024) grosses domestically on its opening weekend. The “Box Office” tab on https://the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-(2024)#tab=box-office and https://the-numbers.com/movie/Gladiator-II-(2024)#tab=box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (November 22 - 24) for each film are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if 'Wicked' (2024) grosses more than two times what 'Gladiator II' (2024) grosses on its 3-day domestic opening weekend. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by December 2, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.