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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $4,350 | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,300 | 100% | +96 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,250 | 100% | +99 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −74 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,200 | 100% | +83 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,950 | 0% | −1 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,900 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,150 | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,100 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,850 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,750 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,800 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,700 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,050 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78d | latzs | ↑ $4,350 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,495 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | jeromebenz | ↑ $4,350 | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 79d | Vagabund97 | ↑ $4,300 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,230 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 79d | .brain. | ↑ $4,300 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,487 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 79d | ↑ $4,300 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,453 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 79d | C03B | ↑ $4,300 | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $4,031 | +$3,252 +81% | 9 |
| 79d | .brain. | ↑ $4,300 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,743 | +$1,748 +100% | 9 |
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 3 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ $4,350 means the market gives it about 100%.