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Polymarket · SportsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 31 | 100% | +87 pts | +89 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 28 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270d |  notthatguy22 | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,286 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 270d | rpoy11 | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,472 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 270d |  MDPog2 fills | January 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,511 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 270d | theigloo | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,001 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 270d |  0xRacist | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,117 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 270d | PainStealer | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,204 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 270d |  Rommel💀 | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,492 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 270d |  4threich | February 28 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,204 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 270d | stealer | January 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,454 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 270d | 0x8c03…ffcd | January 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 270d | rov | January 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | −$10 −0.8% | — |
| 270d | Busy-Colorlessness | January 31 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,494 | −$89 −2.0% | — |
| 270d |  Infringe2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,359 | +$44 +1.0% | 4 |
| 270d | discombobulated-chicken2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,932 | +$74 +1.9% | 4 |
| 270d |  zb82 fills | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,093 | +$31 +1.0% | 4 |
| 270d | prestonalewis | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,573 | +$56 +1.0% | 4 |
| 270d | 940 | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,376 | +$24 +1.0% | 4 |
| 270d | MiddyFi | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,991 | +$30 +1.0% | 4 |
| 270d | ff-ff-ff | January 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$20 +1.0% | 4 |
| 270d | slamjampeter2 fills | January 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,111 | +$415 +8.1% | 5 |
| 270d | slamjampeter | February 28 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 270d |  berboche | January 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$78 +5.3% | 4 |
| 270d | MDPog | January 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | +$53 +5.3% | 4 |
| 270d | badabudibejs | January 31 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$382 +34% | 6 |
| 271d |  ComingBack | January 31 | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $2,600 | −$2,600 −100% | 5 |
| 271d | Suburban-Spree2 fills | January 31 | BuyNo84¢ → 0¢ | $2,592 | −$2,592 −100% | 6 |
| 274d | zb82 fills | January 31 | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $2,626 | −$2,626 −100% | 4 |
| 278d |  Mikuuu999 | January 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $1,030 | −$1,030 −100% | 4 |
| 281d | berboche | January 31 | SellNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,552 | +$2,552 +100% | — |
| 282d |  e7a6cb0f-2f46-4410-bc38-76663a607702 | January 31 | BuyYes21¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$4,137 +369% | 4 |
| 283d | vizo | January 31 | SellYes25¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | −$3,361 −303% | — |
| 291d |  Parz1vaI | January 31 | SellNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,112 | +$1,112 +100% | — |
| 294d | Parz1vaI2 fills | January 31 | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,449 | −$2,449 −100% | 4 |
| 296d | imgone | December 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,062 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 296d | ToyodaMan | December 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,196 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 296d | Jolly-Executive | December 31 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,357 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 296d |  TheWolfOfPoly | December 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$13 +1.2% | 4 |
| 298d |  mericCat | December 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$13 +1.2% | 4 |
| 298d |  RadarMentions | December 31 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$22 −2.1% | — |
| 299d |  ProfessionalPunter | December 31 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | +$105 +6.4% | 5 |
| 301d |  account154 | December 31 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$252 +18% | 5 |
| 301d | limosine | December 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,588 | +$195 +7.5% | 4 |
| 301d | Suburban-Spree | December 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | +$152 +9.5% | 6 |
| 302d | nagibator4000 | December 31 | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | −$230 −18% | — |
| 303d | zb8 | December 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $6,141 | +$1,230 +20% | 5 |
| 304d |  DogsInPools2 fills | December 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,740 | +$569 +21% | 4 |
| 306d | nagibator40002 fills | December 31 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,769 | +$477 +13% | 4 |
| 306d | TheWolfOfPoly | December 31 | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | −$332 −30% | — |
| 307d | Wowiwow | December 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | +$102 +7.0% | 4 |
| 311d | tempho | December 31 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$204 +16% | 4 |
Mikuuu99911,984 shares
Dankwizart4203,258 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 15:28:130 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xqc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for January 31 means the market gives it about 100%.