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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 474d | fi412 | Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Mertens (W) | SellSabalenka>99¢ | $2,327 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 474d | SaylorMoon | Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Mertens (W) | BuySabalenka90¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$121 +11% | 4 |
| 474d | 025d8 fills | Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Mertens (W) | BuySabalenka86¢ → 100¢ | $12,119 | +$1,991 +16% | 4 |
| 474d | jtwyslljy2 fills | Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Mertens (W) | BuyMertens19¢ | $2,246 | — | 4 |
| 474d |  sleepy-panda10 fills | Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Mertens (W) | BuySabalenka83¢ → 100¢ | $40,160 | +$7,957 +20% | 4 |
| 474d | skullface791 | Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Mertens (W) | BuySabalenka83¢ → 100¢ | $6,655 | +$1,363 +20% | 4 |
| 475d | affs207912 fills | Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Mertens (W) | BuySabalenka83¢ → 100¢ | $6,615 | +$1,385 +21% | 4 |
Aryna Sabalenka and Elise Mertens are scheduled to play each other in a Round 4 matchup in the Wimbledon women's singles tournament on July 6, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sabalenka” if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Elise Mertens in Round 4 of the Wimbledon women's singles tournament. This market will resolve to “Mertens” if Elise Mertens advances against Aryna Sabalenka in Round 4 of the Wimbledon women's singles tournament. If the match ends in a tie, is canceled, or delayed beyond July 7, 2025, this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.