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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) | 100% | +95 pts | +77 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Eric Perrot (FRA) | 0% | −25 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emilien Jacquelin (FRA) | 0% | −10 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA) | 0% | −13 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Philipp Nawrath (GER) | 0% | −1 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Niklas Hartweg (SUI) | 0% | 0 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Justus Strelow (GER) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Simon Eder (AUT) | 0% | −1 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joscha Burkhalter (SUI) | 0% | 0 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sebastien Stalder (SUI) | 0% | −1 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andreis Rastorgujevs (LAT) | 0% | 0 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tommaso Giacomel (ITA) | 0% | −11 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Johan-Olav Botn (NOR) | 0% | −7 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vetle Sjastad Christiansen (NOR) | 0% | −4 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Martin Uldal (NOR) | 0% | −3 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabien Claude (FRA) | 0% | −5 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Philipp Horn (GER) | 0% | −2 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vitezslav Hornig (CZE) | 0% | 0 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michal Krcmar (CZE) | 0% | −1 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vytautas Strolia (LTU) | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lukas Hofer (ITA) | 0% | −1 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maxime Germain (USA) | 0% | 0 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sturla Holm Laegreid (NOR) | 0% | −10 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sebastian Samuelsson (SWE) | 0% | −6 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Martin Ponsiluoma (SWE) | 0% | −10 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Campbell Wright (USA) | 0% | −2 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Isak Frey (NOR) | 0% | 0 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jesper Nelin (SWE) | 0% | −1 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jakov Fak (SLO) | 0% | 0 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tero Seppala (FIN) | 0% | 0 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dmitro Pidruchnyi (UKR) | 0% | 0 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Florent Claude (BEL) | 0% | 0 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| David Zobel (GER) | 0% | 0 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Placeholder 1 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 2 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 3 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 6 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 7 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 8 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 10 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 11 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 13 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245d | Worstgamblereu | Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,600 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | olabandola | Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,835 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 245d | Worstgamblereu | Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,600 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 245d | stevemaster | Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,844 | +$156 +5.5% | 5 |
| 246d | Snoorrason | Maxime Germain (USA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,313 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 246d | Snoorrason | Simon Eder (AUT) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,439 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 246d | Snoorrason | Florent Claude (BEL) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,335 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group. If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) means the market gives it about 100%.