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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tormod Frostad (NOR) | 100% | +89 pts | +89 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mac Forehand (USA) | 0% | −29 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex Hall (USA) | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Troy Podmilsak (USA) | 0% | −12 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Konnor Ralph (USA) | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luca Harrington (NZL) | 0% | −13 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matej Svancer (AUT) | 0% | −10 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Birk Ruud (NOR) | 0% | −22 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ulrik Samnoey (NOR) | 0% | −3 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Miro Tabanelli (ITA) | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sebastian Schjerve (NOR) | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabian Boesch (SUI) | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andri Ragettli (SUI) | 0% | — | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elias Syrja (FIN) | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kuura Koivisto (FIN) | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Evan McEachran (CAN) | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dylan Deschamps (CAN) | 0% | −4 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Martin Nordqvist (SWE) | 0% | −3 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jesper Tjader (SWE) | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chris McCormick (GBR) | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Henry Sildaru (EST) | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Barclay (NZL) | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Timothe Sivignon (FRA) | 0% | −4 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kim Gubser (SUI) | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Henrik Harlaut (SWE) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matias Roche (FRA) | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Placeholder 3 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 6 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 7 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 8 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 10 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 11 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 13 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 249d | 0xfa7f…8a58 | Tormod Frostad (NOR) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,182 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 249d | Raggen | Tormod Frostad (NOR) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 249d |  pmtosat- | Tormod Frostad (NOR) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,259 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | Lexma | Mac Forehand (USA) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,348 | +$33 +2.5% | 4 |
| 249d |  StudyPrediction | Tormod Frostad (NOR) | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,312 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | 0xfa7f…8a58 | Tormod Frostad (NOR) | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$144 +14% | 5 |
| 249d |  TradeDeficitArchitect | Martin Nordqvist (SWE) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,711 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | FlyingPlaty | Sebastian Schjerve (NOR) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,626 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 249d | FlyingPlaty | Alex Hall (USA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,635 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 251d | StudyPrediction | Jesper Tjader (SWE) | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$13 +1.1% | 4 |
| 251d | FlyingPlaty | Andri Ragettli (SUI) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,027 | +$49 +2.4% | 4 |
| 257d |  MPSJ2 fills | Luca Harrington (NZL) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,140 | +$66 +3.1% | 4 |
| 259d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | Birk Ruud (NOR) | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,550 | +$450 +3.1% | 4 |
bjprolo100 sharesThis market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Ski Big Air - Men's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group. If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tormod Frostad (NOR) means the market gives it about 100%.