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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannes Klaebo (NOR) | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Einer Hedegart (NOR) | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Martin Loewstroem Nyenget (NOR) | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gus Schumacher (USA) | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hugo Lapalus (FRA) | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arsi Ruuskanen (FIN) | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Edvin Anger (SWE) | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harald Oestberg Amundsen (NOR) | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mika Vermuelen (AUT) | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrew Musgrave (GBR) | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thomas Maloney Westgaard (IRL) | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friedrich Moch (GER) | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Florian Notz (GER) | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| William Poromaa (SWE) | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Niko Anttola (FIN) | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mathis Desloges (FRA) | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Victor Lovera (FRA) | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Martino Carollo (ITA) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Placeholder 1 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 2 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 3 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 6 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 7 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 8 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 10 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 11 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 13 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 252d | Ososjfkosksbwkwoowoxjsi | Hugo Lapalus (FRA) | SellNo>99¢ | $2,197 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 252d | ForFamily3 fills | Johannes Klaebo (NOR) | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,261 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | ForFamily3 fills | Hugo Lapalus (FRA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,651 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | ForFamily2 fills | Einer Hedegart (NOR) | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,662 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | olabandola | Johannes Klaebo (NOR) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,947 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | Gus Schumacher (USA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 252d | Crock95 | William Poromaa (SWE) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,697 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | olabandola | Niko Anttola (FIN) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,440 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | ForFamily | William Poromaa (SWE) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,303 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | olabandola | Harald Oestberg Amundsen (NOR) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,802 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | ForFamily | Florian Notz (GER) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,760 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | ForFamily | Friedrich Moch (GER) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | Martin Loewstroem Nyenget (NOR) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,305 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 252d | Florian Notz (GER) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,492 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 252d | ForFamily | Niko Anttola (FIN) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,616 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | ForFamily | Victor Lovera (FRA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,830 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 252d | Martino Carollo (ITA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,560 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 252d | SnowLover7 | Martin Loewstroem Nyenget (NOR) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,944 | +$40 +2.0% | 4 |
| 252d | olabandola | Martin Loewstroem Nyenget (NOR) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,900 | +$100 +2.0% | 4 |
| 252d | weather.fanatic | Martin Loewstroem Nyenget (NOR) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$30 +2.0% | 4 |
| 252d | Martin Loewstroem Nyenget (NOR) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,121 | +$84 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 252d | SnowLover7 | Harald Oestberg Amundsen (NOR) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,497 | +$296 +2.0% | 4 |
| 252d | olabandola | Gus Schumacher (USA) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,853 | +$160 +2.0% | 4 |
| 252d | ColdMath | Hugo Lapalus (FRA) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,718 | +$96 +2.0% | 4 |
| 253d | Ososjfkosksbwkwoowoxjsi | Hugo Lapalus (FRA) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,155 | +$44 +2.0% | 4 |
| 253d | Gus Schumacher (USA) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$28 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 253d | Hugo Lapalus (FRA) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,889 | +$59 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 253d | Hugo Lapalus (FRA) | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$24 +2.0% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's 10km Interval Start Free event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group. If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Johannes Klaebo (NOR) means the market gives it about 100%.