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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frida Karlsson (SWE) | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ebba Andersson (SWE) | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jonna Sundling (SWE) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Heidi Weng (NOR) | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maria Gismondi (ITA) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nora Sanness (NOR) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Julia Kern (USA) | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rosie Brennan (USA) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jessica Diggins (USA) | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Karoline Simpson-Larsen (NOR) | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vilma Ryytty (FIN) | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pia Fink (GER) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kerttu Niskanen (FIN) | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moa Ilar (SWE) | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Astrid Oeyre Slind (NOR) | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Teresa Stadlober (AUT) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Helen Hoffmann (GER) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Krista Parmakoski (FIN) | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kristin Austgulen Fosnaes (NOR) | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Placeholder 1 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 2 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 3 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 4 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 5 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 6 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 7 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 8 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 9 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 10 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 11 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 12 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 13 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Placeholder 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253d | olabandola2 fills | Frida Karlsson (SWE) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,855 | +$31 +0.5% | 4 |
| 254d | ForFamily | Heidi Weng (NOR) | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,414 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d | ForFamily3 fills | Rosie Brennan (USA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,039 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d | ForFamily3 fills | Julia Kern (USA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,238 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d | ForFamily2 fills | Pia Fink (GER) | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,668 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d | ForFamily4 fills | Vilma Ryytty (FIN) | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,590 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d | Simmelariii2 fills | Frida Karlsson (SWE) | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,615 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d | ForFamily2 fills | Teresa Stadlober (AUT) | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,353 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d | ForFamily | Maria Gismondi (ITA) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,666 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d | ForFamily | Nora Sanness (NOR) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,710 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 254d | AnonymousGambler | Vilma Ryytty (FIN) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,382 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Cross Country Interval Start Free event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Cross Country Interval Start Free event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group. If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Frida Karlsson (SWE) means the market gives it about 100%.