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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump by 0-1% | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Trump by 4.0%+ | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 3.0-4.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 2.0-3.0% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump by 1.0-2.0% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 0-1.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 1.0-2.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 2.0-3.0% | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 3.0-4.0% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Harris by 4%+ | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707d |  itsgg2 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,365 | −$68 −1.3% | — |
| 709d | AddingtonMoore | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,591 | −$50 −1.9% | — |
| 709d | asdfasdfasdfasdfafds | Trump by 1.0-2.0% | SellNo100¢ | $1,932 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 715d | OrderbookDestroyr9000 | Harris by 4%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 715d |  redbloodzcell | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo>99¢ | $2,287 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 716d | oVyg7f | Trump by 1.0-2.0% | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | +$645 +33% | 4 |
| 717d | asdfasdfasdfasdfafds | Trump by 1.0-2.0% | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,416 | +$1,139 +33% | 4 |
| 717d | 8BlocksCapital4 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $33,666 | +$2,657 +7.9% | 4 |
| 717d | 8BlocksCapital | Trump by 0-1% | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $2,622 | −$2,622 −100% | 4 |
| 717d | FeathersTogether2 fills | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $10,150 | +$1,123 +11% | 7 |
| 718d | AnonymousUsername | Harris by 3.0-4.0% | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$165 +12% | 7 |
| 718d | JLlama - 5399 | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$1,768 +18% | 8 |
| 718d | AnonymousUsername | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,913 | +$338 +18% | 8 |
| 722d | redbloodzcell | Trump by 3.0-4.0% | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | +$96 +6.5% | 4 |
| 722d | redbloodzcell | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,329 | +$480 +21% | 5 |
| 723d | gilbert | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $2,676 | +$801 +30% | 6 |
| 725d | TrumpPump | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 727d | itsgg | Trump by 4.0%+ | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,702 | +$1,184 +25% | 4 |
| 738d | Wealthy-Laundry | Harris by 1.0-2.0% | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | −$222 −16% | — |
| 744d | Outgoing-Removal | Trump by 4.0%+ | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | −$241 −15% | — |
This is a market on predicting the margin of victory in the upcoming elections in Wisconsin.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Trump by 0-1% means the market gives it about 100%.