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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$13B | 100% | +3 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >$20B | 100% | +16 pts | +42 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| >$35B | 0% | 0 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415d | 0x367f…0545 | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,400 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | MaxHippo | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | TheLastOfMachine | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,102 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | 911TurboS | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,302 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | OmahasOracle | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | Katniss Everdeen | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,201 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | StandardAndPoor500 | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | Just Do It | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,302 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | ACreed | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | ThereIsNoSpoon | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | professorx | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | >$35B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,095 | −$3 −0.3% | — | |
| 416d | laflamablanca | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,043 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 416d | >$35B | SellNo>99¢ | $4,587 | −$14 −0.3% | — | |
| 416d | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 416d | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 416d | >$35B | SellNo>99¢ | $13,099 | −$58 −0.4% | — | |
| 416d | sleepin | >$35B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,331 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 416d | 21A | >$13B | SellYes>99¢ | $6,297 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 416d | >$20B | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,162 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 416d | apy23 | >$20B | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,188 | −$33 −0.6% | — |
| 416d | dotblue | >$13B | SellYes>99¢ | $6,259 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 416d | 0xbad9…5ea8 | >$13B | SellYes>99¢ | $4,451 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 416d | >$20B | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,389 | −$41 −1.7% | — | |
| 416d | fabauz | >$20B | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | −$29 −1.7% | — |
| 416d | >$13B | SellYes>99¢ | $1,094 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 416d | limosine8 fills | >$20B | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $37,237 | +$5,504 +15% | 2 |
| 416d | limosine6 fills | >$35B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $43,861 | +$602 +1.4% | 2 |
| 416d | >$13B | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,862 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 417d | limosine8 fills | >$13B | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $48,990 | +$1,816 +3.7% | 2 |
| 417d | >$20B | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,330 | +$370 +11% | 2 | |
| 417d | >$13B | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 417d | regison | >$13B | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,824 | −$117 −4.2% | — |
| 417d | Alexis03804 | >$20B | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$757 +51% | 2 |
| 417d | >$20B | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 2 | |
| 417d | horiz0n | >$20B | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $8,763 | −$8,763 −100% | 7 |
| 417d | horiz0n | >$20B | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $5,808 | −$3,111 −54% | — |
| 417d | churchilldowns | >$20B | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $8,517 | −$8,517 −100% | 11 |
| 417d | randomgr | >$20B | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $2,062 | −$2,062 −100% | 6 |
| 417d | HumbleChristian | >$13B | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | −$45 −4.0% | — |
| 417d | >$35B | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$55 +5.3% | 2 | |
| 417d | >$20B | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$263 −24% | — | |
| 417d | dakaiyunzhaofu | >$13B | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | +$36 +3.1% | 2 |
| 417d | >$13B | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$44 +4.2% | 2 | |
| 417d | fabauz | >$20B | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$202 +14% | 2 |
| 418d | richfacai3 fills | >$20B | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $23,392 | +$5,206 +22% | 2 |
| 419d | Kiger-okx | >$13B | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$107 +5.3% | 2 |
| 421d | t-s-b2 fills | >$20B | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $5,850 | +$1,650 +28% | 2 |
| 423d | apy23 | >$20B | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $3,587 | +$1,634 +46% | 2 |
| 423d | >$13B | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $12,538 | −$12,538 −100% | 6 | |
| 425d | amis | >$13B | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$140 +14% | 2 |
| 426d | 0xbad9…5ea82 fills | >$13B | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $21,964 | +$4,957 +23% | 2 |
| 426d | >$13B | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$500 +11% | 2 | |
| 431d | t-s-b | >$13B | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | +$423 +25% | 2 |
| 437d | hedgedis | >$13B | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $3,490 | −$3,490 −100% | 5 |
| 438d | traderxyz | >$13B | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$277 +20% | 2 |
| 440d | HumbleChristian | >$13B | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$1,050 +54% | 2 |
| 444d | Refuse2Lose6 fills | >$13B | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $14,658 | −$9,061 −62% | — |
| 455d | zlk190 | >$13B | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$429 −40% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of WLFI's token (World Liberty Financial) is greater than $13,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If WLFI doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$13B means the market gives it about 100%.