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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$16B | 100% | +5 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$10B | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $10-12B | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $12-14B | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $14-16B | 0% | −1 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 416d |  bigting | <$10B | SellNo>99¢ | $2,021 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 416d | apy23 | >$16B | SellYes>99¢ | $5,983 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 416d |  Burnmoneyuser | $12-14B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 416d | lnarix | >$16B | SellYes>99¢ | $2,511 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 416d |  formernorrisfan | >$16B | SellYes>99¢ | $2,341 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 416d | limosine | $14-16B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,456 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 416d | limosine2 fills | $12-14B | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,175 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 416d | cigarettes3 fills | $12-14B | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,858 | +$34 +0.2% | 2 |
| 416d | limosine9 fills | >$16B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $56,250 | +$795 +1.4% | 2 |
| 416d | cigarettes3 fills | $14-16B | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,854 | +$38 +0.2% | 2 |
| 416d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | $12-14B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 416d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | $14-16B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 417d | Burnmoneyuser | $12-14B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,768 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 417d |  donjo | $10-12B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,344 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 417d |  elmcap2 | <$10B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,848 | +$23 +0.8% | 2 |
| 417d |  manekineko | $10-12B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,804 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 417d | manekineko2 fills | >$16B | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,272 | +$61 +0.7% | 2 |
| 417d | elmcap2 | >$16B | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$24 +2.3% | 2 |
| 417d | quanterty2 fills | <$10B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$165 +1.1% | 2 |
| 417d | Otter-KING | >$16B | BuyNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,439 | −$1,439 −100% | 4 |
| 417d | horiz0n | >$16B | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $7,437 | −$1,233 −17% | — |
| 417d | manekineko | >$16B | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $12,571 | −$1,816 −14% | — |
| 417d |  xingdaorong | >$16B | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | −$49 −3.1% | — |
| 417d | bigting | <$10B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$18 +1.3% | 2 |
| 417d | horiz0n | >$16B | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $7,342 | +$816 +11% | 2 |
| 417d | dakaiyunzhaofu | >$16B | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 2 |
| 417d | meowmeowcookie | >$16B | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 417d | meowmeowcookie | >$16B | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $4,327 | −$958 −22% | — |
| 417d |  banme | <$10B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$17 +1.4% | 2 |
| 417d | meowmeowcookie | >$16B | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$286 +5.7% | 2 |
| 418d | fintrader | >$16B | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,102 | +$272 +8.8% | 2 |
| 419d | Muskk | $10-12B | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,787 | +$42 +2.4% | 2 |
| 419d | elpredictoooor | <$10B | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$42 +4.2% | 2 |
| 420d | limosine | >$16B | SellNo14¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | +$1,400 +100% | — |
| 420d | limosine | <$10B | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,650 | +$110 +4.2% | 2 |
| 421d |  Anjun | $12-14B | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,758 | +$85 +3.1% | 2 |
| 422d | 0xHeeee | >$16B | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,675 | −$983 −37% | — |
| 422d | 0xHeeee | >$16B | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,134 | +$524 +17% | 2 |
| 422d | burgerrrr2 fills | >$16B | BuyNo23¢ → 0¢ | $3,855 | −$3,855 −100% | 9 |
| 423d | apy23 | >$16B | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,789 | +$1,200 +25% | 2 |
| 424d | t-s-b | >$16B | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | −$868 −67% | — |
| 424d | limosine2 fills | >$16B | BuyNo28¢ → 0¢ | $3,203 | −$3,203 −100% | 7 |
| 426d | displaynym | >$16B | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,493 | −$984 −39% | — |
| 426d | displaynym | >$16B | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,342 | +$136 +4.1% | 2 |
| 426d | hayason | >$16B | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,262 | +$214 +6.6% | 2 |
| 426d | chopin | >$16B | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$255 −25% | — |
| 427d | 0xtuna | >$16B | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$552 +18% | 2 |
| 431d | t-s-b | >$16B | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,529 | +$843 +33% | 2 |
| 431d | hedgetrimma3 fills | >$16B | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $6,970 | −$6,970 −100% | 3 |
| 432d | metatron69 | >$16B | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | −$502 −49% | — |
| 433d | LouisaVVV | >$16B | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$954 +32% | 2 |
| 437d | joeb2 fills | >$16B | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $3,791 | +$3,102 +82% | 2 |
| 437d | rolandzc-240 | >$16B | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$885 +82% | 2 |
| 438d | metatron69 | >$16B | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,266 | +$1,884 +83% | 2 |
| 443d | aluminium | >$16B | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,264 | +$1,264 +100% | — |
| 451d | QAQ4 | >$16B | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $3,246 | −$2,745 −85% | — |
| 453d | QAQ4 | >$16B | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$426 +43% | 2 |
FreeCityIndividual3,900 sharesThis market will resolve according to the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of WLFI’s token exactly 24 hours after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the reported FDV falls exactly between two brackets, the market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If WLFI doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "<$10B".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$16B means the market gives it about 100%.