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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 100% | +33 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ding Liren | 0% | −18 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 693d | bingodecuba | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $2,836 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 693d | EVplusrebate | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,468 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 694d | EVplusrebate | Gukesh Dommaraju | SellNo>99¢ | $3,313 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 694d | robybin777 | Draw | SellYes>99¢ | $1,071 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 694d |  COVID-isTheNew-HUNTER-PARDON | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,472 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 694d | Lukyyyyyyy | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,224 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 694d |  d1k21 | Ding Liren | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,830 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 694d | cigarettes | Ding Liren | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,254 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 694d | cigarettes | Gukesh Dommaraju | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,254 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 694d | Lukyyyyyyy2 fills | Draw | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,210 | +$15 +0.7% | 4 |
| 694d |  lranon | Draw | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 694d |  BigBlackGorilla | Ding Liren | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,097 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 694d | bingodecuba | Draw | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 |
| 694d | COVID-isTheNew-HUNTER-PARDON | Ding Liren | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,715 | +$348 +13% | 8 |
| 694d |  GretchenWhitmersBasementSlave | Ding Liren | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 14 |
This is a market on the outcome of Game 4 in the World Chess Championship.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw means the market gives it about 100%.