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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kick 2 | 50% | −7 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Kick 1 | 50% | −7 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Kick 4 | 50% | −6 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Kick 7 | 50% | −2 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Kick 5 | 50% | −3 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Kick 10 | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Kick 6 | 50% | −2 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Kick 8 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Kick 9 | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Kick 11 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Kick 3 | 50% | −5 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
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This market will resolve to “Made” if the corresponding kick taken by a player represented by Argentina during a penalty shootout in the 2026 World Cup Final is converted. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “Miss”. In the event of a retaken kick, this market will resolve in favor of the result of the retaken attempt. If the listed kick number is not taken, the corresponding market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the result of the listed kick is otherwise unclear within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50” The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Kick 2 means the market gives it about 50%.