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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martínez | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lamine Yamal | 0% | +8 pts | — | — · 20¢ | — | ended |
| Lionel Messi | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rodri | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gerónimo Rulli | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedri | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pau Cubarsí | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Víctor Muñoz | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aymeric Laporte | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gonzalo Montiel | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Facundo Medina | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Valentín Barco | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ferran Torres | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabián Ruiz | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicolás Otamendi | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marcos Senesi | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Paz | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gavi | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rodrigo De Paul | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nahuel Molina | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thiago Almada | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nicolás Tagliafico | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexis Mac Allister | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cristian Romero | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Martín Zubimendi | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Julián Álvarez | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Giuliano Simeone | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joan García | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico Williams | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| David Raya | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marc Pubill | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Álex Grimaldo | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marc Cucurella | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mikel Merino | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Álex Baena | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lisandro Martínez | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Giovani Lo Celso | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dani Olmo | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Porro | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marcos Llorente | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Eric García | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yeremy Pino | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Manuel López | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Unai Simón | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leandro Paredes | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emiliano Martínez | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Borja Iglesias | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Juan Musso | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nico González | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Enzo Fernández | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Exequiel Palacios | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96d | Trustinghorse | Lionel Messi | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
WatchTheTape55 shares
bjprolo5 sharesThis market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player misses a penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Argentina and Spain. Otherwise the corresponding market will resolve "No". Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time are counted. A penalty is counted as missed if it does not result in a goal (missed or saved). Penalty shootout kicks do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no results within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Lautaro Martínez means the market gives it about 0%.