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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yukinari Sugawara | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ko Itakura | 0% | −90 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuito Suzuki | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shogo Taniguchi | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Keito Nakamura | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Daichi Kamada | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ayumu Seko | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ritsu Doan | 100% | +13 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tsuyoshi Watanabe | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ao Tanaka | 0% | −82 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Takehiro Tomiyasu | 0% | −76 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Kaishu Sano | 100% | +82 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Tomoki Hayakawa | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daizen Maeda | 100% | +95 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hiroki Ito | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Zion Suzuki | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wataru Endo | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keisuke Osako | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Junya Ito | 0% | −93 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Keisuke Goto | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Junnosuke Suzuki | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Koki Ogawa | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ayase Ueda | 100% | +6 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Takefusa Kubo | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kento Shiogai | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Yuto Nagatomo | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131d | WhenYouFindMe | Yukinari Sugawara | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,211 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
J255252,368 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player takes the field as a member of Japan's official starting lineup for the first group stage game the nation plays at 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player is officially announced as part of the starting lineup but is replaced before the game begins for any reason, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". Only players that are on the pitch at kick off will be counted toward a "Yes" resolution. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of Japan's official 1st match starting lineup for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yukinari Sugawara means the market gives it about 0%.