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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lionel Messi | 100% | +91 pts | +58 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kylian Mbappé | 0% | −55 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lamine Yamal | 0% | −7 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harry Kane | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael Olise | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vinícius Jr. | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ousmane Dembélé | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rodri | 0% | −24 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rayan Cherki | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Erling Haaland | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jude Bellingham | 0% | −15 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedri | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bruno Fernandes | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vitinha | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Florian Wirtz | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Neymar | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gavi | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bukayo Saka | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Declan Rice | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Player A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96d | zxc3682 fills | Lionel Messi | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,374 | +$85 +1.0% | 4 |
| 96d | omoi0i0 | Lionel Messi | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,542 | +$86 +1.0% | 4 |
| 96d | livepo1y | Lionel Messi | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,461 | +$35 +1.0% | 4 |
| 96d |  JhonAlexanderHinestroza | Lionel Messi | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,460 | −$85 −1.0% | — |
| 96d | omoi0i0 | Jude Bellingham | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,803 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 96d | JhonAlexanderHinestroza | Lionel Messi | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$64 +5.3% | 6 |
| 96d | 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35 | Lionel Messi | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $4,882 | +$1,145 +23% | 10 |
| 97d |  Nik- | Jude Bellingham | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$65 +5.3% | 5 |
| 97d | Tobias1909 | Kylian Mbappé | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,126 | −$1,126 −100% | 9 |
| 100d | Gaditima | Kylian Mbappé | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,096 | −$1,096 −100% | 6 |
| 133d | xiaxxxx | Michael Olise | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,715 | +$678 +25% | 4 |
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Lionel Messi means the market gives it about 100%.