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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | 100% | +7 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Iran | 0% | −4 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jordan | 0% | −7 pts | −13 pts | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Qatar | 0% | −23 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · 2¢ | — | ended |
| South Korea | 0% | −26 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Uzbekistan | 0% | −6 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in AFC (Asia) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Iraq means the market gives it about 100%.