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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czechia | 100% | +1 pts | +56 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | −1 pts | −17 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | −2 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · 11¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | −4 pts | −11 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| England | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Netherlands | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | −1 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | −33 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Scotland | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Spain | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Türkiye | 0% | −32 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120d | 1234545 | Belgium | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,254 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Czechia means the market gives it about 100%.